Information Package

Program of Technology and Knowledge Management

TKM456

FORECASTING METHODS

Course Code
TKM456
Semester
-
Theory+Practice
3 + 0
ECTS
5
Course TypeElective Course
Course LevelBachelor's Degree
Year of Study4
Semester-
ECTS5
Name of Lecturer(s)
Learning Outcomes

At the end of this course, the students;

  1. Can understand specific data considerations, regression models, time series and their patterns.
  2. Can understand basic forecasting models from various time series data.
Mode of DeliveryFace to face
PrerequisitesNo
Recommended Optional Programme ComponentsNA
Course DescriptionThis course focuses on different forecasting methods, their varying constraints as well as necessary conditions for each method to be applied. Students will also learn to apply these forecasting methods to real world problems using computer applications.
Course Contents
WEEK TOPICS
1st Week Covariance, Correlation Coefficients
2nd Week Introduction to Regression
3rd Week Simple Linear Regression Method
4th Week Multiple Linear Regression
5th Week Applying Multiple Linear Regression
6th Week Performance Indicators
7th Week Multiple Linear Relationship Problems
8th Week Midterm
9th Week Introduction to Time Series Analysis
10th Week Moving Averages
11th Week Exponential Smoothing
12th Week Time Series and Regression Applications
13th Week Time Series Analysis Computer Applications
14th Week Time Series Analysis Computer Applications
Recommended or Required ReadingIntroduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Yaffee R. A. ve McGee, M. (2000)
Regression Models for Time Series Analysis, Kedem, B., Fokianos, Konstantinos, (2002), (Wiley and Sons)
Planned Learning Activities and Teaching Methods
  • Lecture
  • Discussion
Assessment Methods and Criteria
Quantity Percentage (%)
Mid-term 1 40
Quiz 4 10
Total(%) 50
Contribution of In-term Studies to Overall Grade(%) 50
Contribution of Final Examination to Overall Grade(%) 50
Total(%) 100
ECTS Allocated Based on Student Workload
Activities Quantity Duration (Hour) Total Workload (Hour)
Midterm exam 1 2 2
Preparation for Quiz 4 2 8
Individual or group work 14 4 56
Preparation for Final exam 1 20 20
Course hours 14 3 42
Preparation for Midterm exam 1 17 17
Laboratory (including preparation)
Final exam 1 2 2
Homework
Quiz 4 1 4
Total Work Load151
Total Work Load / 30 (h)5.03
ECTS Credit of the Course5
Language of InstructionTurkish
Work Placement(s)No
LO1 LO2
K1 X
K2 X X
K3 X
K4 X
K5 X X
K6
K7
K8 X
K9 X
K10
K11 X
K12
K13 X
K14
K15