| Course Type | Elective Course |
|---|
| Course Level | Master's Degree With Thesis |
|---|
| Year of Study | - |
|---|
| Semester | - |
|---|
| ECTS | 10 |
|---|
| Name of Lecturer(s) |
- |
| Learning Outcomes |
At the end of this course, the students;
- Apply probability theory to formulate structural reliability problems,
- Analyze and model extreme events using appropriate extreme value distributions,
- Evaluate the reliability of structural components using classical reliability theory,
- Design and implement Monte Carlo simulation techniques for reliability analysis,
- Interpret and apply probability-based codified design principles and demonstrate an understanding of seismic fragility and vulnerability models.
|
| Mode of Delivery | Face to face |
|---|
| Prerequisites | No |
|---|
| Recommended Optional Programme Components | None |
|---|
| Course Description | Probabilistic bases for the design and evaluation of structural safety and reliability. Random occupancy, wind and earthquake loading, and of variability in material properties. Structural system reliability. Quantitative risk evaluation, systematic assessment and analysis of uncertainties, optimum design accounting for uncertainty and failure consequences. New probabilistically based code specifications. Applications. |
|---|
| Course Contents |
| WEEK |
TOPICS |
|
1st Week |
Brief Review of Basic Probability Concepts and Rules |
|
2nd Week |
Random Variables |
|
3rd Week |
Important Probability Distributions |
|
4th Week |
Multiple Random Variables |
|
5th Week |
Functions of Random Variables |
|
6th Week |
Risk and Reliability Models |
|
7th Week |
System Reliability |
|
8th Week |
Midterm |
|
9th Week |
Modeling and Analysis of Uncertainties |
|
10th Week |
LRFD Case Study |
|
11th Week |
PSHA Basic Principles and Guidelines |
|
12th Week |
PSHA Case Study |
|
13th Week |
Basic Concepts of Statistical Inference |
|
14th Week |
Fitting Probabilistic Models to Observed Data |
|
15th Week |
Basic Concepts of Simple Linear Regression |
|
| Recommended or Required Reading | 1. Probability Concepts in Engineering Planning and Design, Vol.?s 1 and 2, A.H.-S Tang and W.H. Tang, 1984.
2. Structural Reliability Theory and Its Application, P. Thoft-Christensen, M.J. Baker, Springer, 1982.
3. Structural Reliability Analysis and Prediction, R.E. Melchers, Wiley, 2002. |
|---|
| Planned Learning Activities and Teaching Methods |
- Lecture
- Questions/Answers
- Presentation
|
|---|
| Assessment Methods and Criteria |
|
Quantity |
Percentage (%) |
| Mid-term |
1 |
30 |
| Assignment |
1 |
10 |
| Quiz |
1 |
20 |
| Total(%) |
|
60 |
| Contribution of In-term Studies to Overall Grade(%) |
|
60 |
| Contribution of Final Examination to Overall Grade(%) |
|
40 |
| Total(%) |
|
100 |
|
| ECTS Allocated Based on Student Workload |
| Activities |
Quantity |
Duration (Hour) |
Total Workload (Hour) |
| Midterm exam |
1 |
2 |
2 |
| Preparation for Quiz |
1 |
50 |
50 |
| Individual or group work |
14 |
3 |
42 |
| Preparation for Final exam |
1 |
80 |
80 |
| Course hours |
14 |
3 |
42 |
| Preparation for Midterm exam |
1 |
60 |
60 |
| Laboratory (including preparation) |
|
|
|
| Final exam |
1 |
2 |
2 |
| Homework |
1 |
20 |
20 |
| Quiz |
1 |
2 |
2 |
| Total Work Load | 300 |
| Total Work Load / 30 (h) | 10 |
| ECTS Credit of the Course | 10 |
|
| Language of Instruction | English |
|---|
| Work Placement(s) | No |
|---|
